The U.S. stock market was not the only one hitting new highs
yesterday, the Tokyo Nikkei hit the highest level since 2008. Japan’s major
stock index has been riding the back of the global market rally, however there
is one major factor the country has that has been setting itself apart.
The precipitous slide of the country’s currency, the Yen,
has been a boost to the value of stocks based in Japan. As the currency
declines in value it makes their goods more affordable to the countries Japan
exports to.
When Shinzo Abe, Japan’s newest Prime Minister, said last
year that he would use “unlimited easing” to get the country out of a long-term
deflationary period, investors took notice and the Yen is down over 15% since
that statement.
Over the last year the iShares MSCI Japan ETF ($EWJ) is up
7% and the Rydex CurrencyShares Yen ETF ($FXY) is down 14%. The reason EWJ is
not up more is because the stocks are priced in Yen and as the US Dollar rises
versus the Yen it equates to less gains for the stocks that make up the ETF.
So if we could somehow invest in Japan without having to
take on the currency risk of the Yen falling more it would be a better scenario.
The answer to this quagmire is the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF ($DXJ).
The ETF invests in large-cap Japanese stocks, but at the same time is short the
Yen - basically the stocks are priced in US Dollars. Therefore a rise in
Japanese stocks and a drop in the Yen is exactly what owners of DXJ are hoping
for.
If the Japanese government sticks by its plan to continue monetary easing it will be a boost to Japanese exporters as the Yen hits new lows. This will lead to higher stock prices and DXJ continuing its current trend.
If the Japanese government sticks by its plan to continue monetary easing it will be a boost to Japanese exporters as the Yen hits new lows. This will lead to higher stock prices and DXJ continuing its current trend.
Below is a chart of all three ETFs over the last year. The
21% gain for DXJ is triple that of EWJ in just 12 months.
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