Friday, January 4, 2013

Breaking Down the Jobs Report

Once per month the BLS releases the jobs report and it tends to be the most anticipated economic number on Wall Street. Today was no different when the December report was announced.

A total of 155K jobs were created in December according to the government agency. This was slightly below estimates and in-line with what most economists had targeted for the month.

Here are the highlights and lowlights:

  • The private sector created 168K jobs and the government lost 13K jobs
    • Good to see it is private sector and not government
  • During the fourth quarter the government sector lost 89K jobs
  • The unemployment rate was revised here in November to 7.8% and it remained there in December
    • The real rate is double-digits if the Americans that dropped out of the workforce were put back in. Also the same rate when Obama took office.
  • Average Hourly Workweek increased by 0.1 to 34.5 hours
    • Step in the right direction.
  • Average Hourly Earnings up $0.07 to $23.73 - up 2.1% year-over-year
    • Moving higher, but need a better annual increase.
  • Labor Force Participation Rate steady at 63.6%
    • When only about 2/3 of the American population that qualifies to work under this statistic are actually working it is a disgrace. And this is another reason the unemployment number is so high.
  • U-6 number at 14.4%
    • This is the number of people unemployed plus part-time workers that want full-time jobs and job seekers that gave up on looking for work. The number is lower than the 15.2% last year, but still way too high for a robust economic recovery.
  • The average monthly jobs created in the last two years is 153K - December was right in-line
    • There is not upward movement. The labor market is stagnant. At this point in time in a recovery the number should be above 300K (a number it needs to be at to keep up with demand for jobs and to bring down the unemployment number).

 

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