Monday, May 20, 2013

Morning Market Update: Japan, Gold, Italy


Stocks head into Monday morning on a four-week winning streak, but the futures are showing small losses heading into the opening bell.

The Japanese stock market continues its unfathomable rally overnight with the Nikkei up 1.5% after positive remarks from the government and a better than expected manufacturing number. The Nikkei is now up 47% in 2013.
ETFs to Watch: EWJ, DXJ, FXY

Both Gold and Silver continue their ominous slide overnight with silver down as much as 3% at one point. Both metals have bounced well off the lows, but the trend is clearly not in the favor of precious metals. I continue to have steer clear of the sector until a bottom is formed and the end of the selling is evident.
ETFs to Watch: GLD, SLV, GDX, IAU

In another sign that investors are believing the Eurozone situation is improving, the yields on Italian debt fell as the country’s industrial orders number beat expectations. The spread between the 10-year German Bunds and the comparable Italian government debt has narrowed to the lowest level since January. Even Slovenia saw its yields fall overnight after a downgrade by Fitch.
ETFs to Watch: ITLY, BUND, BWX

Patience vs. Go-For-It – The market is sitting at an all-time go begin the new week and therefore chasing performance is never the best strategy. That being said, investors that have been waiting for a 10% pullback have been sitting on their hands for a long time and missing out on the stock market rally. My advice is to highlight the stocks/ETFs you want to buy and when there is a day or two of weakness – begin to build a position. A mix of go-for-it and patience.

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