Today the weekly initial claims number came in at 388,000, above the 375,000 estimate. The prior week was revised higher to 389,000. The most troubling of the stats was the 4-week moving average that is now at 381,750 - an increase of 6250 and at the highest level of 2012.
I will be on Fox News Channel at 1:15ET today talking with Megyn Kelly about the numbers and my view on the "real" employment situation.
Here is a long-term chart of the monthly numbers (next report on Friday next week). Clearly the trend higher is slowing, which could be troubling.
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