According to data from Moody's Analytics the GDP of European countries are taking a hit due to rising oil prices. A $10 increase in the price of a barrel of oil subtracts 0.28 percentage points or 28 basis points from the German GDP one year later.
Ireland and Italy take a hit that is twice as bad as Germany's and Greece is hit the hardest with a drop in 0.8 percentage points for every $10 rise in a barrel of oil.
Many skeptics will ignore the fact that rising oil prices hurt an economy - the truth is in the numbers. Unfortunately I feel oil will remain high and with anemic growth at best for the Euro Zone countries, it could be a major issue going forward.
ETFs to Watch: Italy ($EWI), Germany ($EWG), Greece ($GREK), Ireland ($EIRL)
Market expert and TV personality Matt McCall blogs about what is really moving the markets. He will emphasize Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and individual stocks throughout the trading day.
Showing posts with label brent crude new high. Show all posts
Showing posts with label brent crude new high. Show all posts
Wednesday, April 11, 2012
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
Morning Outlook - Dow 13K, Yen, New Oil Highs
Dow 13K
Yesterday the Dow eclipsed the 13,000 level for the first time in nearly four years, but was unable to hold onto the psychological level. Even thought the 13K level is meaningless on a technical basis, it does hold significant psychological importance to some investors. I am sure there were a a handful that told themselves they would sell once the Dow got back to 13K - and apparently they did just that yesterday. As fun as it is to watch the big round number, you need to realize the more important level to watch is support at 12,750 area on any pullback. The DIAMONDS Trust ETF ($DIA) tracks the Dow 30.
Japanese Yen
The Japanese Yen continues to fall versus the US Dollar as it hits a new 7-month low this morning. This is due to more action by the Bank of Japan to get the CPI back into positive territory. To achieve this goal it will look to force down the value of the Yen. The Rydex CurrencyShares Japanese Yen ETF ($FXY) has broken support and we are considering selling the remainder of our shares and locking in a double-digit gain for clients. It is tough to fight the BOJ.
Brent Crude High
At nearly 78.71 Sterling per barrel, Brent Crude is at a record high in Sterling terms. What does this mean to you and I? Well if the high oil price has a negative affect on the UK and other European countries it could exasperate the slowdown in the region and could spill over to the US. This is a situation we need to keep our eyes on. The United States Brent Oil ETF ($BNO) is trading at an all-time high.
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