Monday, September 26, 2011

Daily Recap

McCall's Call

Today I will list some random thoughts I had throughout the first trading day of the week.

· A large number of upgrades today for stocks in a variety of sectors. Are the analysts finally starting to see value in this market? I sure as heck see value in this market and if you have a 3-5 year timeframe – there are some big-time bargains out there!!


· The rally has the $SPY within 50 cents of closing the gap left by Thursday’s big gap down on the open. It is not rare to see a chart in which a gap is filled before the ETF reverses in the direction of the gap. In this case it was a big gap down. Therefore we need to watch the action into mid-week to see if the top of the gap proves to be resistance. The level to watch on the $SPY is $116.50.


· The precious metal slump continues, however both gold and silver were able to rally well off the lows hit last night. Silver was down nearly 10% at one point in overnight trading. The contract closed near breakeven. Copper, which has also taken a beating was able to rally all the way back into positive territory. ETFs to watch $SLV $GLD $JJC


· Stocks in the news: Apple ($AAPL) was down as much as $17 during the session after reports surfaced that the company is ordering less parts for their iPad 2 device. Throughout the day there have been firms coming out and defending Apple. Is it due to their new Brazil supplier contract? Maybe the iPad 3? Either way, investors used the weakness as an opportunity to buy as Apple rallied to close down less than $2.

  • Retailers Strong today with SPDR S&P Retail ETF ($XRT) up 3.4%. Limited Brands ($LTD) closed within 1% of a new all-time high. Other retailers within striking distance of new all-time highs include: TJX Companies ($TJX), Costco Wholesale ($COST), Amazon.com ($AMZN), and Ross Stores ($ROST).

A Favorite Energy Stocks Looking Good

One of our favorite energy plays, Core Laboratories (CLB) is forming a bullish double-bottom today at the $98 support level. More follow-through on the upside tomorrow will be very positive for the stock.

We currently own shares of CLB for several clients.

Monday's with Matty

Catch my weekly market segment on Fox News Live at 1pm ET with Tracy Byrnes.

This week I talk about the continuing issues in Europe as well as economic numbers in the US.

I will also look at the action of the market this morning and what to expect for the week AND of course 3 stock/ETF Ideas!!

Go to www.foxnews.com to watch live.

Europe Banks Set to Rally

After a bit of positive (or more like the lack of negative news), shares in Europe are rallying on Monday. The move higher is led by the financials, which have been the cause of the drubbing the region has taken.

If you are feeling a bit aggressive this morning and feel the rally will continue there is an ETF made just for you - the iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF (EUFN).

If you prefer to simply build a new position in the region I would suggest the Vanguard European ETF (VGK) with a dividend yield of 5%.

Personally I think it may be a little early for both ETFs as long-term investments.

Friday, September 23, 2011

Stocks Find a Bottom and Gold Capitulates

Even as the news remains negative and we head into a weekend, stocks are holding onto modest gains of 0.5% with 30 minutes left in the week.

My gut feeling when the market was down 2% this morning was that we hit an intermediate-term low as the capitulation soared. I felt the same way in regards to gold mid-day and sent out a Tweet from @MatthewMcCall that a buy at $159.25 on GLD was a good strategy. GLD continues to trade near the $160 level heading into the close. This looks like a good price to add to a position or begin building a position.

Another longer update this weekend.

Email info@pennfinancialgroup.com to be added to our FREE Email Alert list.

Matt McCall

Video of CNN Interview on 9/23/11

Link to my interview on CNN this morning regarding the market sell-off.

http://cnn.com/video/?/video/bestoftv/2011/09/23/am-matt-mccall-markets.cnn

Market Bottom??

My gut feeling was telling me the market hit a short-term bottom this morning when futures were down about 2%. I am not ready to start throwing money back into stocks, but I will watch the action closely heading into the weekend to see if I am right.

Keep in mind the rumbling in my gut may be the Mexican food from last night - but typically my gut calls are the most accurate.

Watch support on the S&P 500 at 1101.